Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran

Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran /

Annotation

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Online Access: Full text (MCPHS users only)
Main Author: Seliktar, Ofira
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Westport, Conn. : Praeger, 2000
Subjects:
Islamic fundamentalism > Iran.
United States > Foreign relations > Iran.
Iran > Foreign relations > United States.
Local Note:ProQuest Ebook Central
Table of Contents:
  • Cover
  • Failing the Crystal Ball Test
  • Contents
  • Preface
  • Abbreviations
  • Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change
  • 1 Theories of Political Change and Predictions of Change: Methodological Problems
  • METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS OF TRACKING CHANGES IN A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM
  • THE DIMENSIONS OF A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM: EXISTENTIAL IMPERATIVES AS VALIDITY CLAIMS
  • THE PROCESS OF LEGITIMIZING A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM: THE DISCURSIVE APPROACH
  • THE PROCESS OF DELEGITIMATION: THE SYSTEMIC AND INDIVIDUAL LEVEL VIEW
  • Systemic Level Mechanisms
  • Individual Level Mechanisms
  • ACTIVATING THE PROCESS OF DELEGITIMATION: TRIGGER CONDITIONS OF CHANGE
  • THE NATURE OF THE DELEGITIMATION DISCOURSE: SYMBOLS AND SUBSTANCE
  • THE TIMETABLE OF THE DELEGITIMATION DISCOURSE: CONTINUOUS AND REVOLUTIONARY CHANGE
  • THE PROCESS OF TRANSVALUATION: REFORMIST AND RADICAL
  • 2 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change: Developmentalism vs. Dependency
  • THE DEVELOPMENTAL VIEW OF CHANGE: LINEAR PROGRESSION TOWARD THE WEST
  • THE DEPENDENCY VIEW OF CHANGE: LINEAR PROGRESSION TOWARD A SOCIALIST UTOPIA
  • HEADED TOWARD CONVERGENCE: REDEFINING THE DIRECTION OF POLITICAL CHANGE
  • LEANING TO THE LEFT: THE MYTH AND REALITY OF THE OBJECTIVE SOCIAL SCIENTIST
  • FROM REALPOLITIK TO MORALPOLITIK: THE INTELLECTUAL BASE OF NEW INTERNATIONALISM
  • 3 Road Testing New Internationalism: The Iran Policy of the Carter Administration
  • CRUSADING AGAINST REALPOLITIK: MAINSTREAMING THE NEW INTERNATIONALISM VISION
  • THE UNLIKELY CRUSADER: JIMMY CARTER AND THE EMBRACE OF NEW INTERNATIONALISM
  • A COAT OF MANY COLORS: THE SHAPING OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S IRANIAN POLICY
  • THE RESURGENT CONGRESS: THE AWACS SALE AS A REFERENDUM ON THE SHAH'S LEGITIMACY
  • BACK HOME: THE SHAH AND THE OPPOSITION TAKE MEASURE OF THE "CARTER REVOLUTION" IN FOREIGN POLICY.
  • WASHINGTON'S CHALLENGE: THE POLITICS OF THE PREDICTIVE PROCESS
  • 4 In the Eye of the Storm: The Carter Administration and the Iranian Revolution
  • THE CYCLICAL RIOTS: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN
  • THE CYCLICAL RIOTS: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON
  • THE MASS PROTEST: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN
  • THE MASS PROTEST: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON
  • THE GENERAL STRIKES: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN
  • THE GENERAL STRIKES: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON
  • THE ENDGAME: A VIEW FROM TEHERAN
  • THE ENDGAME: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON
  • 5 Dealing with Chaos: The Carter Administration and the Successor Regime in Iran
  • THE SHORT SPRING OF THE MODERATES: THE EMERGENCE OF A DUAL GOVERNMENT
  • MAKING SENSE OF THE REVOLUTIONARY AFTERMATH: WASHINGTON'S GUIDE FOR THE PERPLEXED
  • THE HOT SUMMER: THE FUNDAMENTALIST TAKEOVER
  • WHAT'S IN A NAME?: WASHINGTON BETS ON THE MODERATES
  • THE LONG FALL: THE PUSH FOR A FUNDAMENTALIST HEGEMONY
  • THE UNWELCOME VISITOR: THE POLITICS OF THE SHAH'S ADMISSION TO THE UNITED STATES AND THE SEIZURE OF THE EMBASSY
  • 6 Reflections on Predictive Failures
  • PARADIGMATIC FAILURE
  • POLICY FAILURE
  • INTELLIGENCE FAILURE
  • UNDERSTANDING THE "GREAT UNKNOWN": THE IRANIAN REVOLUTION AND PREDICTING POLITICAL CHANGE IN THE FUTURE
  • References
  • Index
  • About the Author.

Similar Items